How to read the numbers
All sales, demand, retention, attendance, quoted-cost placeholders and future inflation are planning assumptions. The stronger-sales case includes higher fixed costs and reaches capacity limits, so it may earn less than the working plan in later years. Founder accounts remain active in each modeled path. No scenario is a statistical confidence interval.
The monthly forecast assumes a 60% adult / 20% youth / 20% household-seat mix for regular member people, 3% monthly regular-member churn, 5% annual regular-dues growth, 3% service-price growth and 4% cost growth by default. The first operating month includes the complete opening signup requirement.
Donations remain outside operating revenue. Founders pay no upfront fee; their lower dues and service discounts are inside the forecast. A hypothetical loan is financing cash, not profit. Sales tax collected is excluded from revenue; prices are before applicable tax.
Book depreciation is illustrative: $25M over 39 years and $4.5M over seven years. Franchise tax reserves 0.331% of sales without threshold relief; the planning model holds published 2026–27 rules constant. The 25% income-tax allowance takes no benefit for prior losses or special tax depreciation and does not determine tax on campaign receipts.
Peak-court arithmetic is an aggregate screen. It does not certify a daily calendar, parking, fire occupancy, gym capacity, waiting tolerance or structural fit. The 2,200-person planning ceiling is not an architect-approved membership capacity. No land appreciation, asset-sale proceeds or earnings on reserve cash are included.